Berenberg raises target price on Yellow Cake

Analysts at Berenberg raised their target price on uranium group Yellow Cake from 744.0p to 883.0p on Thursday following a fireside chat with chief executive Andre Liebenberg and Dustin Garrow, managing principal at Nuclear Fuel Associates and chief commercial officer of 308 Services.

Berenberg said it came away from the chat with the view that the uranium's price rally can be sustained, with tight supply, plus existing supply disruptions, as well as delays to new projects, thin spot markets and a positive demand outlook from both growing utility demand and small modular reactors, plus the ongoing headwind of falling coverage ratios, particularly for US utilities, all pointing to prices being well underpinned with scope for further disruptions to push the price of uranium higher.

The German bank, which reiterated its 'buy' rating on the stock, also noted that underpinning this and providing more upside risk for prices, scope remains for the US government to ban imports of Russian uranium, providing a further dislocation of trade flows and impacting supply of uranium into the US, creating an energy security risk.

"We think that uranium prices are likely to remain elevated and think that there is scope for further price appreciation due to the tight markets and ongoing supply risk. We lift our price to $102.50/lb for 2024 and remain of the view that prices can spike even further from current levels," said Berenberg. "This lifts our Yellow Cake price target to 883.0p per share. Yellow Cake is trading at a 14% discount to pro-forma net asset value and we see a clear trade here for investors to generate alpha through the NAV discount arbitrage."

Reporting by Iain Gilbert at Sharecast.com