Goldman upgrades InterContinental Hotels, downgrades Whitbread

Goldman Sachs upgraded InterContinental Hotels to ‘buy’ from ‘neutral’ on Wednesday and cut Premier Inn owner Whitbread to ‘neutral’ from ‘buy’ as it reshuffled its European-listed hotel ratings.

The bank said IHG’s enhanced long-term earnings per share growth algorithm, improved enterprise platform and optionality on ancillary revenue streams merits a narrower valuation discount to key US peers.

"We think the stock’s de-rating over the last six months creates an attractive entry-point into a high quality, asset-light hotel franchise platform offering more than 15% EPS CAGR (2023-28E) a 7% shareholder return per annum and one of the highest returns on invested capital in our leisure coverage (circa 46% in 2025E)," GS said.

"While we still see Whitbread as a business with the appropriate strategy to take advantage of structural opportunities and a strong management team, our profit before tax estimates are circa 2% below consensus in FY25/26 and soft UK industry revenue per available room trends could weigh on the short-term outlook."