Friday preview: US inflation expected to creep higher

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Sharecast News | 15 Sep, 2016

Updated : 14:52

US inflation data will be in focus on Friday as the Federal Reserve’s next policy meeting looms.

Economists expect the consumer price index rose an annualised 1.0% in August, compared to 0.8% a month earlier.

On the month, CPI is forecast to increase 0.1% in August following zero growth the previous month.

Excluding food and energy, inflation is predicted to rise 0.2% month-on-month and 2.2% year-on-year in August, following June’s monthly 0.1% gain and yearly 2.2% increase.

HSBC analysts said they expect that hotel rates and lodging rates rebounded after a decline in July, but estimate that airline fares and tuition costs were unchanged.

The Federal Reserve, which is targeting 2% inflation, is scrutinising US data closely as it determines the timing of its next rate increase. The US central bank is due to meet 20-21 September.

Fed governor Lael Brainard on Monday said she wanted to see signs of rising inflation before raising interest rates.

“Recent developments suggest some reasons to be concerned more about undershooting than overshooting” on inflation, she told the Chicago Council on Global Affairs.

Friday 16 September

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