Goldman Sachs cuts oil prices forecasts

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Sharecast News | 18 May, 2015

Updated : 15:45

Goldman Sachs has cut its forecast on oil prices for 2016 to 2020, on the back of improved US shale efficiency and unrestricted OPEC productivity.

However, in a note published on 16 May, the US investment bank lifted its average price for 2015 Brent crude to $58 barrel from $52 and raised its forecast on the average price of West Texas Intermediate from $48 to $52 a barrel.

"We see global oil demand being met by US shale, which is continuing to benefit from efficiency and productivity improvements, and OPEC," Goldman Sachs analysts said in a note.

"This lower-for-longer oil price will put significant pressure on the integrated oils, forcing a rethink of dividends, in our view.

"As a result, we downgrade the sector outlook to 'cautious' from 'neutral'".

Last week, Goldman Sachs warned that the rebound in oil prices was “premature”, adding it expected a series of decline in prices to rebalance the market.

Brent crude futures have gained 12% since the turn of the year and have rallied 40% from their 2014 low.

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