Europe midday: Stocks push higher into the end of the quarter

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Sharecast News | 29 Mar, 2019

Updated : 12:50

Stocks on the Continent are pushing higher at quarter-end, buoyed by positive trade headlines and favourable economic data out of Germany.

On Friday morning, the US Secretary of the Treasury, Steve Mnuchin, said he and American Trade Representative, Robert Lighthizer, had "constructive" talks in China and that he looked forward to the next round of talks, scheduled for the following week, in Washington.

"European markets are in the green this morning, with optimism over the direction of US-China trade talks helping raise sentiment as we close out the week. Huge gains in Chinese stocks overnight highlighted optimism over the pathway of talks, with constructive talks in Washington set to continue into next week," said Josh Mahony at IG.

Nevertheless, traders were mindful that a vote in the UK Parliament scheduled for 1430 GMT might see Britain stumble out of the European Union, likely triggering volatility in sterling.

Analysts at ING believed the course of events in the UK over the next two weeks was "highly uncertain", although in their opinion a softer form of Brexit remained the most likely scenario, albeit only narrowly, followed by a second referendum.

"However, the odds of 'no deal' and a general election appear to have climbed," they said in a research note sent to clients.

The analysts from the same Dutch broker put the odds of May's deal passing at 10%, of a softer Brexit at 25%, of a 'no deal' Brexit also at 25% and of a general election at 15%.

As of 1223 GMT, the benchmark Stoxx 600 was adding 0.44% to 378.51, alongside a gain of 0.58% to 21,204.11 for the FTSE Mibtel and an advance of 0.77% to 11,515.73 for the German Dax.

In parallel, the pound had reversed course and was adding 0.34% to 1.1664 as investors bid their time ahead of the vote in the UK Parliament.

Front month Brent crude oil futures meanwhile were up by 1.3% at $68.73 a barrel on the ICE.

As an aside, in a research note sent to clients, economists a Bank of America-Merrill Lynch cautioned about the impact that a delay in reaching a US-China trade deal might have on the Asian giant's economy.

Economic data out at the end of the week was mixed, although readings on German retail sales and unemployment pleased.

According to Spain's national office of statistics, the quarter-on-quarter rate of growth in the country's GDP slowed from 0.7% over the three months to September to 0.6% in the fourth quarter.

In Germany on the other hand, the latest official data showed that retail sales jumped at a month-on-month pace of 0.9% in February, following a surge of 2.8% in January and defying analysts' forecasts for a drop of 1.0%.

"The strong start to the year adds evidence to the idea that German consumers’ spending is now rebounding after a significant slowdown through most of last year," said Pantheon Macroeconomics's Claus Vistesen.

Those figures came alongside data showing a drop in the German rate of unemployment from 5.0% for February to 4.9% in March, as expected by economists.

Swedish fashion retailer Hennes&Mauritz shares' rocketed after the company posted better-than-expected quarterly profits of 1.04bn krona for its fiscal first quarter and pointed to quicker sales growth, although its inventory position continued to deteriorate.

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