Canaccord Genuity upgrades Hurricane Energy to 'speculative buy'

Canaccord Genuity said Hurricane's fortunes appeared to have changed, with winds "gentle" and the waves "calm", while all the elements also appeared to be "responding kindly" to the company's wishes.

"It is clear how this transition has come about; good operational management, continued better-than-expected P6 well productivity, very high levels of operational performance from the Aoka Mizu FPSO, and much-improved oil prices," said Canaccord.

"It really needed convergence of all these to put Hurricane in its current position, where the company has rapidly pivoted from a potential existential threat to a much brighter future with growth options."

The Canadian bank, which kept its 9.0p target price on the stock unchanged, highlighted that largely fixed costs had enabled a matrix of production/oil price combinations that defined project cashflow neutrality.

"At our oil price assumptions, that is around 5,200 bopd, but more optimistic oil pricing (though still in line with the forward curve) would reduce that level to around 4,600 bopd. Based on guidance production declines that would extend production by about three months," said the analysts.

"On that basis, assuming continued single well production, we anticipate positive asset cashflow into early 2024; and an additional successful producer would extend that to mid-2025."

Reporting by Iain Gilbert at Sharecast.com