Deutsche Bank lowers price target on Aldermore Group
Updated proposals from the Basel Committee for standardised credit risk pose another headwind for Aldermore Group, Deutsche Bank said.
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The new proposals, published on 10 December, suggest raising risk weights to a minimum of 70% for residential property when repayment is materially linked to cash-flows generated by the property.
That could reduce the lender’s core equity Tier-1 capital position by 230 basis points to 9.7%, analyst David Lock said in a research note sent to clients.
Hence, Lock lowered his target price on the stock from 267p to 240p.
For buy-to-let mortgages with a loan-to-value ratio below 60% the risk-weight assigned would be 70%, for values between 60-80% the risk weight would rise to 90% and for higher LTVs to 120%.
At the end of the first half of 2015 the average LTV on Aldermore’s buy-to-let mortgages was at 62%.
The bank’s target for core equity capital is 11%, which means it might have to dedicate retained earnings to fill the gap, which in turn would weigh on growth.
Lock kept his recommendation on the shares at ‘neutral’.