Week ahead: Carney in the spotlight
The latest employment and retail sales data, due out on Wednesday and Thursday, will set the stage for the Monetary Policy Committee's meeting on Thursday.
Rate-setters at the Bank of England are expected to keep all policy levers at their current settings, given the recent resilience shown by the British economy and perhaps also out of a desire to wait and see what measures the new Chancellor unveils in the Autumn Budget on 23 November.
Dr. Howard Archer, chief UK+European economist at IHS Markit, expected the Old Lady On Threadneedle Street to cut rates from 0.25% to 0.10% in November or in early 2017 at the latest should it decide to postpone a decision on further stimulus until later.
"[That is because] there is clearly an increased chance that the BoE will sit tight on inestrest rates in November given the current resilience of the econmy, especially as the MPC may well want to see what Chancellor Philip Hammond comes up with in the Autmn Statement," Dr. Archer said.
Economists at Credit Suisse on the other hand held out the possibility that Bank may 'tone down' its dovish tone, saying that if the economy continued to perform better than expected (relative to the BoE's own forecasts for growth of 0.1% quarter-on-quarter in the third quarter) then the need to ease further come November would decrease.
Ahead of that event, analysts at Deutsche Bank pointed out a late addition to the calendar for Fed speakers, with the 'dovish' Governor Lael Branard having been added to the line-up for 12 September, which may be an attempt to raise expectations for rate hikes, should see sound a more hawkish note.
Also of great importance, figures on Chinese fixed asset investment, industrial production and retail sales were set for release on Tuesday, together with a raft of indicators on the state of the US economy towards the end of the week.
The Swiss National Bank was also scheduled to decide on policy on Thursday.
Monday September 12
INTERIMS
Brady, Central Asia Metals, Christie Group, EKF Diagnostics Holdings , Hostelworld Group , John Laing Infrastructure Fund Ltd, M. P. Evans Group, Mytrah Energy Ltd, Restore
INTERIM DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
AstraZeneca
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS
Budget Statement (US) (19:00)
Q2
M. P. Evans Group
FINALS
Abcam, City of London Investment Group, Green Reit
AGMS
AEC Education, Conviviality, Real Good Food , Subex Ltd GDR (Reg S)
TRADING ANNOUNCEMENTS
Associated British Foods
FINAL DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
Greene King
Tuesday September 13
INTERIMS
Attraqt Group , Corero Network Security, Escher Group Holdings, Flowtech Fluidpower, Futura Medical, Goals Soccer Centres, Hilton Food Group, JD Sports Fashion, Manx Telecom , Netplay TV, SafeCharge International Group Limited (DI), STM Group, TP Group, Verona Pharma
INTERIM DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
Mondi
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS
Consumer Price Index (GER) (07:00)
ZEW Survey (EU) (10:00)
ZEW Survey (GER) (10:00)
Q2
Netplay TV
FINALS
Kalibrate Technologies
AGMS
Aberdeen Private Equity Fund Ltd. Sterling Part Shares, Abzena, Cohort, Daejan Holdings, Empyrean Energy, Imaginatik, Solid State
UK ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS
Consumer Price Index (09:30)
Producer Price Index (09:30)
Retail Price Index (09:30)
Wednesday September 14
INTERIMS
Accesso Technology Group, Advanced Medical Solutions Group, Alliance Pharma, Anpario, Cambian Group, Epwin Group, Everyman Media Group , MyCelx Technologies Corporation (DI), Quixant, Quixant
INTERIM DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
Apax Global Alpha Limited , Fidessa Group, Rentokil Initial
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS
Industrial Production (EU) (10:00)
MBA Mortgage Applications (US) (12:00)
FINALS
Dunelm Group, Empiric Student Property , Town Centre Securities, Wilmington
AGMS
Agriterra LD, Intercede Group, Marechale Capital , Pets at Home Group , Sable Mining Africa Ltd. (DI), Sophos Group , Supergroup, Tricorn Group
UK ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS
Claimant Count Rate (09:30)
Thursday September 15
INTERIMS
Be Heard Group, Fairpoint Group, IndigoVision Group, Premier Farnell, Proteome Sciences, Safestyle UK
INTERIM DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
4Imprint Group, Quartix Holdings
INTERIM EX-DIVIDEND DATE
1pm, Arrow Global Group, BBA Aviation, Belvoir Lettings, Centaur Media, Communisis, Computacenter, Costain Group, Derwent London, Fyffes, Highcroft Investment, Holders Technology, Inmarsat, Interserve, Molins, Neptune-Calculus Income & Growth VCT, Octopus AIM VCT 2, Plus500 Ltd (DI), Restaurant Group, RPS Group, Sanne Group, Total Produce, Worldpay Group (WI), Zotefoams
QUARTERLY PAYMENT DATE
Canadian General Investments Ltd.
QUARTERLY EX-DIVIDEND DATE
Assura , BlackRock Income Strategies Trust , XP Power Ltd. (DI)
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS
Balance of Trade (EU) (10:00)
Business Inventories (US) (15:00)
Capacity Utilisation (US) (14:15)
Consumer Price Index (EU) (10:00)
Continuing Claims (US) (13:30)
Crude Oil Inventories (US) (15:30)
Current Account (US) (13:30)
Industrial Production (US) (14:15)
Initial Jobless Claims (US) (13:30)
Philadelphia Fed Index (US) (13:30)
Producer Price Index (US) (13:30)
Retail Sales (US) (13:30)
Retail Sales Less Autos (US) (13:30)
FINALS
Ricardo
SPECIAL EX-DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
Hargreaves Lansdown, Taptica International (DI)
AGMS
Ashley House, Ensor Holdings, Livermore Investments Group Ltd., Mobeus Income & Growth 2 Vct, Purplebricks Group, Terra Catalyst Fund (DI)
UK ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS
BoE Interest Rate Decision (12:00)
BoE Interest Rate Minutes (12:00)
Retail Sales (09:30)
FINAL EX-DIVIDEND DATE
Dart Group, Hargreaves Lansdown, Renishaw, Sophos Group , South32 Limited (DI) , Trifast, UniVision Engineering Ltd.
Friday September 16
INTERIMS
BrainJuicer Group, Mereo Biopharma Group
INTERIM DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
BlackRock World Mining Trust, Hazel Renewable Energy VCT 1, Hazel Renewable Energy VCT 2, Henderson Group, IMI, LPA Group, Moneysupermarket.com Group, Pearson
QUARTERLY PAYMENT DATE
BP, Carnival
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS
Consumer Price Index (US) (13:30)
U. of Michigan Confidence (Prelim) (US) (15:00)
Q2
Mereo Biopharma Group
FINALS
Finsbury Food Group
EGMS
PJSC Megafon GDR (Reg S)
AGMS
Avengardco Investments Public Ltd GDR, ECO Animal Health Group, Real Estate Credit Investments PCC Ltd, Tungsten Corporation
FINAL DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
Aberdeen Private Equity Fund Ltd. Sterling Part Shares, JPMorgan Brazil Inv Trust , Lazard World Trust Fund, red24, Severfield